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Trump Needs to Win Independents Now That He Won New Hampshire, Says Expert

CONCORD, New Hampshire —With a record number of votes cast, former President Donald Trump won the New Hampshire primary, breaking previous records set by Bernie Sanders in 2016. As of right now, the former president is positioned as the likely Republican nominee, even though the primary season is still early.

In spite of his remarkable vote total in the Republican contest on January 23, the make-up of that electorate—as well as the coalition supporting his opponent—may have consequences for President Trump and President Joe Biden should they face off in the general election. To put it succinctly, Ms. Haley was overwhelmingly backed by independent voters in New Hampshire, a highly desirable demographic, during the Republican primary.

Just half of the more than 160 million registered voters in the country are members of a political party, with Democrats and Republicans making up most of these individuals. As per the Gallup report of 2023, 449 percent of the remaining individuals are independent. Any candidate running in November will need the backing of most of those independent voters to win. According to an AP VoteCast survey, among those who declared they would take part in the New Hampshire Republican primary, 21% of Republicans expressed dissatisfaction with President Trump and declared they would not support him.

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Trump 2024

Sixty-eight percent of independent voters declared they would not vote for the former president because they were unhappy with him.
. Defeating former US ambassador Nikki Haley in her final major Republican opponent contest, former President Donald Trump prevailed handily.
. Despite mounting pressure to withdraw, Haley vowed to continue running for office and stated that her attention is now on the South Carolina primary next month.
. Despite not having his name on the ballot, President Joe Biden easily won the Democratic primary; he thanked supporters who started a campaign encouraging people in New Hampshire to write in his name.
. Experts predict a Trump and Biden rematch in the 2020 US presidential election as a result of the New Hampshire results.
Democratic voters are thanked by Biden for writing in his name.
The Democratic president added in a statement that the write-in campaign in New Hampshire “was a historic demonstration of commitment to our democratic process.” Democratic state representative Matt Wilhelm told the Reuters news agency that the write-in campaign was successful despite being “certainly unconventional.” He declared, “Together, we sent a clear message that we will fight for our democracy, for our fundamental freedoms, and we will fight to re-elect Joe Biden in November.”= Trump is predicted to present Biden with a formidable opponent in the general elections in November: According to recent polls, the Republican and Biden are closely separated in several crucial swing states, such as Pennsylvania and Michigan.

The stakes are higher than ever. Biden remarks following Trump’s win
“It is now clear that Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee,” the US president declared in a statement following the release of the primary results.The stakes could not be higher, and that is my message to the nation. Our democratic system. Our individual liberties, such as the ability to vote and make our own decisions. Our financial system. For many months, Biden has urged voters to reject Trump’s reelection as the Republican leader and accused him of jeopardizing US democracy. Two of the four criminal indictments against Trump have to do with his attempts to rig the 2020 election, which Biden won.
In addition, as he did tonight during his victory speech in the New Hampshire primary, he keeps making the unfounded accusation that the 2020 election was stolen from him. According to Trump, “We won in 2016 and, if you really want to play it straight, we also won in 2020.” In the most recent presidential election, Biden prevailed in New Hampshire.
Negative and Positivity

As the incumbent president, President Biden is seeking reelection. President Trump is a quasi-incumbent even though he is not in office. The two men are well-known individuals. The advantage of an established political base is shared by both. In national elections, both have triumphed. Furthermore, the public rates their unfavorability highly. Recent polling on President Trump’s favorability to unfavorability has ranged from 46 to 53 percent, or a +7 unfavorable rating. According to surveys, President Biden’s favorable to unfavorable ratio is roughly 44 to 55 percent, or a +11 unfavorable rating. Despite winning the race, both received a comparatively small percentage of the vote for incumbents in the New Hampshire primary.
On January 23, 2024, in Nashua, New Hampshire, Republican presidential candidate and former president Donald Trump toast his win during a primary election night celebration. January 23, 2024, in Nashua, New Hampshire, Republican presidential candidate and former president Donald Trump toasted his win during a primary election night celebration. Despite being out of office, political pundits like Kayleigh McEnany and Newt Gingrich argue that President Trump’s campaign was similar to that of an incumbent.
Conflict of the hearts and minds

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, a commentator for The Epoch Times, asserts that President Trump needs to appeal to voters outside of the Republican base to win over independent voters and retake the White House. Mr. Gingrich stated, “Trump has to tailor his campaign to be acceptable to everybody tired of Biden.” “He cannot permit it to be a campaign where individuals determine that, despite their dislike for Biden, they dislike Trump even more.”
During his victory speech after the Iowa caucuses on January 15, President Trump occasionally made an appeal for the common good to a larger audience. He mentioned reducing inflation, paying off the national debt, and fixing the deteriorating infrastructure of the country. “We will collaborate with the Democrats to reconstruct our cities,” he declared. “Our cities will be rebuilt, and safety will be ensured.” Mr. Gingrich said that could be a good place to start when trying to win over independent voters. “He made the perfect statements for a campaign for general election. And that’s the main thing it needs to concentrate on.